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Predicting norm change using threshold models
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DOI：10.1016/j.copsyc.2025.101994.png)
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Abstract
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Anticipating changes in social norms presents a significant challenge for social scientists. Historical instances when researchers failed to predict dramatic shifts in collective behavior, along with the persistence of norms that impede welfare, underscore the need for a deeper understanding of how norms evolve. This article reviews current advancements in predicting norm change using threshold models. We document the rise of empirical studies, emphasize recent methodological developments, and discuss open questions for future research.
Keywords:
SOCIAL-INFLUENCE
TIPPING POINTS
DIFFUSION
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