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Predicting the Past
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DOI：10.1109/MS.2019.2957634.png)
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Abstract
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Shortly after the end of the Second World War, there was a strong interest in improving the accuracy of weather forecasts. The importance of this was clear: if you can accurately predict storms, or any type of adverse weather, you have a much better chance to prepare for its effects and stay safe. George Dyson(1) wrote about this in Turing's Cathedral: In 1945 meteorology had become a science, while forecasting remained an art....On average, forecasts beyond twenty-four hours were still no better than 'persistence'-predicting that the weather tomorrow will be the same as it was today.
Keywords:
Weather forecasting
Software
Software reliability
Computers
Computer hacking
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