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Return

Return extrapolation and dividends

delete2025-03-18
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PRE
AI
B
Brad Cannon *
J
John Lynch
DOI:10.1093/rof/rfaf018delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
We provide evidence that dividend-paying stocks are less exposed to return extrapolation than non-dividend-paying stocks. In particular, social media sentiment and analyst price targets of dividend-paying stocks are significantly less sensitive to past returns. Our findings indicate that this difference stems from price changes playing a larger role in extrapolation and dividends diverting attention away from price changes for dividend-paying stocks. Consistent with models of return extrapolation, dividend-paying stocks earn lower momentum and long-term reversal returns. The value premium, however, is similar among both groups. Collectively, our findings suggest that return extrapolation is an important source of some anomaly returns.
Keywords:
return extrapolation
dividends
beliefs
anomalies
G11
G12
G41

Journal

Review of Finance cover
Review of Finance
IF:
8.4
Papers:
898
Citations:
4.8K

Organization

B
Binghamton Univ
Scholars:
120
Papers: 65
Citations: 27