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Robust modeling for continuous bounded spatial data
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DOI：10.1007/s00477-025-02919-z.png)
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Abstract
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The spatial beta regression model is commonly used for geostatistical data defined on bounded support, primarily focusing on modeling the conditional mean of the response. However, this conditional mean model can be sensitive to skewness and outliers. In this paper, we propose robust quantile regression models for bounded spatial data, with particular emphasis on two parametric median-based hierarchical spatial regression models. Specifically, these models resemble spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs), wherein the response variable is modeled using Kumaraswamy and Johnson-t distributions. The proposed models are more robust than the usual spatial beta regression model against the presence of asymmetries and extreme observations. A fully Bayesian analysis is employed to make inferences using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling algorithms. The proposed methodology is illustrated by some simulation experiments and by applying it to forest canopy cover data modelling. The results demonstrate that our proposals noticeably outperform the competitor in terms of predictive accuracy and precision of estimates.
Keywords:
Bayesian inference
Geostatistics
Quantile-based models
Outliers
Proportional data
Robust modeling
Skewed data
Spatial prediction
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