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Route-Specific Total Cost of Ownership for Electric Trucks: A Danish Distribution Case Study
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DOI:10.3390/wevj17080421.png)
Abstract
En 中文
The decarbonisation of heavy-duty road transport is central to European climate policy, yet the economic viability of battery-electric trucks under real-world route conditions remains uncertain. This study presents a route-specific total cost of ownership (TCO) analysis comparing an 18-tonne battery-electric truck with a comparable diesel truck across four Danish distribution routes. An eight-year net present value (NPV) model at 5% discount rate captures acquisition, energy, taxation, and maintenance costs. The analysis incorporates seasonal variation and distinguishes between depot charging (0.75 DKK/kWh) and public fast charging (3.00 DKK/kWh). The electric truck achieves NPV advantages of DKK 1.01–2.14 million across all routes, with break-even periods of 1.8 to 3.3 years. Charging strategy is the most influential economic factor. The findings demonstrate that fleet-averaged TCO estimates are insufficient and route-level analysis is essential for informed electrification decisions, though results are contingent on the specific policy and operational context of this single-operator case study.
Keywords:
electric truck
total cost of ownership
route-specific analysis
NPV
seasonal variation
Danish distribution
charging infrastructure
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