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Sensitivity of wind residual correlation models to residual decomposition and semivariogram assumptions for U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones
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DOI：10.1016/j.strusafe.2026.102720.png)
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Abstract
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• Investigated the impacts of modeling assumptions on characterizing tropical cyclone wind speed residual spatial correlation. • Found substantial variability in spatial correlation structure across tropical cyclones. • Spatial correlation models are sensitive to the selection of statistical methods and model forms. • Developed mean and intensity-based correlation models for wind risk assessment of distributed systems.
Keywords:
tropical cyclone
wind speed
spatial correlation
residual decomposition
semivariogram
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