Short-term online prediction method of concrete dam deformation based on concept drift monitoring and transfer learning optimization strategy

Shaoyang Luo

doi:10.1016/j.apm.2026.117227

Short-term online prediction method of concrete dam deformation based on concept drift monitoring and transfer learning optimization strategy

2026-07-30

0

PRE

AI

S

Shaoyang Luo

D

Dongyang Yuan

B

Bowen Wei *

DOI：10.1016/j.apm.2026.117227

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Abstract

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• Real-time forecast of dam deformation driven by super-historical extreme value. • Prediction model based on deviation compensation TCN-LSTM and step transfer strategy. • Volatility identification of deformation sequence based on KSWIN method. • Similarity measure method of deformation sequence based on DTW-K-means.

Keywords:

Concrete dam

Safety monitoring

Concept drift monitoring

Transfer learning prediction

Online time series prediction

Short-term online prediction method of concrete dam deformation based on concept drift monitoring and transfer learning optimization strategy

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