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Speed-Optimal Induction and Dynamic Coherence

delete2022-06-01
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OA
AI
M
Michael A. Nielsen *
E
Eric Wofsey
DOI:10.1093/bjps/axz030delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
A standard way to challenge convergence-based accounts of inductive success is to claim that they are too weak to constrain inductive inferences in the short run. We respond to such a challenge by answering some questions raised by Juhl ([1994]): when it comes to predicting limiting relative frequencies in the framework of Reichenbach, we show that speed-optimal convergence-a long-run success condition induces dynamic coherence in the short run.
Keywords:
MARTINGALES
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Journal

British Journal of Political Science cover
British Journal of Political Science
IF:
4.7
Papers:
2.2K
Citations:
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Australian National University
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Citations: 3.9W