Superspreading potential of Nipah virus disease despite self-limited human-to-human transmission in community

Kailun Pan

doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2026.108683

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Superspreading potential of Nipah virus disease despite self-limited human-to-human transmission in community

2026-04-02

Kailun Pan

Zihao Guo

Zihan Yuan

Sheikh T Ali

Kai Wang

Sukhyun Ryu

Lirong Cao

Shengzhi Sun

Marc KC Chong

Sandip Mandal

Daihai He

Shi Zhao *

Zijian Feng

Yuantao Hao

DOI：10.1016/j.ijid.2026.108683

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Abstract

En 中文

• We assessed the human-to-human transmission risks of Nipah virus at community level based on literature of historical Nipah virus outbreaks. • The majority of Nipah virus human-to-human transmission ceased without generating secondary case, but demonstrated high heterogeneity in transmission risks. • The introduction of seed cases into a community posed a low but non-negligible risk of a large-scale Nipah virus epidemic. • Our findings may contribute to informing public health preparedness at community level and cross-border travel ban.

Keywords:

Nipah virus

Superspreading

Transmission risk

Epidemic

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