arrow
Return

The Dividend Term Structure

delete2019-05-08
delete10
PRE
AI
J
Jac Kragt *
F
Frank de Jong
J
Joost Driessen
DOI:10.1017/S002210901900036Xdelete
deleteOriginal
deleteOriginal request for help
deleteShare
deleteSave
Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
We estimate a model for the term structure of discounted risk-adjusted dividend growth using prices of dividend futures for the Eurostoxx 50. A 2-factor model capturing short-term mean reversion within a year and a medium-term component reverting at the business-cycle horizon gives an excellent fit of these prices. Hence, investors update the valuation of dividends beyond the business cycle only to a limited degree. The 2-factor model, estimated on dividend futures data only, explains a large part of observed daily stock market returns. We also show that the 2 latent factors are related to various economic and financial variables.
Keywords:
INFLATION
MARKET
AI Summary

AI Summary

Key information extracted from the uploaded paper, including a brief overview, abstract, background, key highlights, visual analysis, and future outlook.

Journal

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis cover
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
IF:
2.8
Papers:
2.3K
Citations:
1.0W

Organization

T
tilburg university
Scholars:
4.7K
Papers: 5.7K
Citations: 4