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Threshold models in time series analysis-Some reflections
DOI:10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.039.png)
Abstract
En 中文
In this paper, I reflect on the developments of the threshold model in time series analysis since its birth in 1978, with particular reference to econometrics. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords:
All-step-ahead prediction
Asymmetry
Bayesian decision
Business cycle
Catastrophe
Conditionally heteroscedastic autoregressive models with thresholds
GARCH model
Hidden Markov chain
Hysteresis
Jump resonance
Markov switching model
Mis-specified model
Mixture of distributions
Non-likelihood approach
Nonlinear unit root
Non-stationarity
Open-loop system
Panel threshold model
Positive-valued time series
Smooth threshold autoregressive models
Splines
Stochastic volatility
Structural breaks
Threshold autoregressive models
Threshold moving average models
Threshold principle
Threshold unit root
Volatility
Wrong model
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