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Transformers for Energy Forecast

delete2023-08-01
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OA
AI
H
Hugo S. Oliveira *
H
Hélder P. Oliveira
DOI:10.3390/s23156840delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
Forecasting energy consumption models allow for improvements in building performance and reduce energy consumption. Energy efficiency has become a pressing concern in recent years due to the increasing energy demand and concerns over climate change. This paper addresses the energy consumption forecast as a crucial ingredient in the technology to optimize building system operations and identifies energy efficiency upgrades. The work proposes a modified multi-head transformer model focused on multi-variable time series through a learnable weighting feature attention matrix to combine all input variables and forecast building energy consumption properly. The proposed multivariate transformer-based model is compared with two other recurrent neural network models, showing a robust performance while exhibiting a lower mean absolute percentage error. Overall, this paper highlights the superior performance of the modified transformer-based model for the energy consumption forecast in a multivariate step, allowing it to be incorporated in future forecasting tasks, allowing for the tracing of future energy consumption scenarios according to the current building usage, playing a significant role in creating a more sustainable and energy-efficient building usage.
Keywords:
transformers
time-series forecast
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Journal

Sensors cover
Sensors
IF:
3.5
Papers:
7.1W
Citations:
20.9W

Organization

U
Universidade do Porto
Scholars:
3.0W
Papers: 2.9W
Citations: 34