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Using machine learning to develop Iraqi-specific spirometric reference equations

delete2025-12-31
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PRE
AI
W
Walid Al‐Qerem
A
Alaa Hussein Alsajri
A
Anan S. Jarab
J
Judith Eberhardt *
DOI:10.1080/20565623.2025.2582429delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
BackgroundSpirometry is essential for diagnosing and managing respiratory diseases. Accurate interpretation relies on reference equations that reflect population-specific lung function. Global equations, such as those from the Global Lung Function Initiative (GLI), may not suit all populations, including Iraqis.ObjectiveTo develop sex-specific spirometric reference equations for healthy Iraqi adults using machine learning (ML) and compare their performance with the GLI 2012 and 2022 equations.MethodsThis cross-sectional study included 3,959 healthy, nonsmoking Iraqi adults aged >= 18 years. Spirometry was performed per ATS/ERS guidelines. Five ML models (linear regression, random forest, support vector machine, gradient boosting machine (GBM), and k-nearest neighbors) were trained using age and height. Data were split into training (70%) and validation (30%) sets. Performance was assessed using RMSE, R2, and z-score calibration. GBM was selected as the best model.ResultsGBM outperformed all other models and GLI equations. In females, R2 was 0.4473 for FEV1 and 0.4519 for FVC; in males, 0.3509 and 0.3674, respectively. GLI equations underestimated lung volumes, while GBM predictions were well calibrated with mean z-scores near zero.ConclusionGBM-derived equations show improved accuracy and calibration over GLI standards for Iraqi adults, offering a more suitable tool for spirometry interpretation.
Keywords:
Spirometry
machine learning
reference equations
gradient boosting
Iraq
GLI
Pulmonary function

Journal

F
Future Science OA
IF:
2.1
Papers:
160
Citations:
0

Organization

U
university of teesside
Scholars:
1.6K
Papers: 1.8K
Citations: 3
U
universiti sains malaysia
Scholars:
3.8K
Papers: 1.7K
Citations: 1
A
al-zaytoonah university of jordan
Scholars:
87
Papers: 54
Citations: 0
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