Shea, Katrion; Borchering, Rebecca K.; Probert, William J. M.; Howerton, Emily; Bogich, Tiffany L.; Li, Shou-Li; van Panhuis, Willem G.; Viboud, Cecile; Aguas, Ricardo; Belov, Artur A.; Bhargava, Sanjana H.; Cavany, Sean M.; Chang, Joshua C.; Chen, Cynthia; Chen, Jinghui; Chen, Shi; Chen, YangQuan; Childs, Lauren M.; Chow, Carson C.; Crooker, Isabel; Del Valle, Sara Y.; Espana, Guido; Fairchild, Geoffrey; Gerkin, Richard C.; Germann, Timothy C.; Gu, Quanquan; Guan, Xiangyang; Guo, Lihong; Hart, Gregory R.; Hladish, Thomas J.; Hupert, Nathaniel; Janies, Daniel; Kerr, Cliff C.; Klein, Daniel J.; Klein, Eili Y.; Lin, Gary; Manore, Carrie; Meyers, Lauren Ancel; Mittler, John E.; Mu, Kunpeng; Nunez, Rafael C.; Oidtman, Rachel J.; Pasco, Remy; Piontti, Ana Pastore Y.; Paul, Rajib; Pearson, Carl A. B.; Perdomo, Dianela R.; Perkins, T. Alex; Pierce, Kelly; Pillai, Alexander N.; Rael, Rosalyn Cherie; Rosenfeld, Katherine; Ross, Chrysm Watson; Spencer, Julie A.; Stoltzfus, Arlin B.; Ben Toh, Kok; Vattikuti, Shashaank; Vespignani, Alessandro; Wang, Lingxiao; White, Lisa J.; Xu, Pan; Yang, Yupeng; Yogurtcu, Osman N.; Zhang, Weitong; Zhao, Yanting; Zou, Difan; Ferrari, Matthew J.; Pannell, David; Tildesley, Michael J.; Seifarth, Jack; Johnson, Elyse; Biggerstaff, Matthew; Johansson, Michael A.; Slayton, Rachel B.; Levander, John D.; Stazer, Jeff; Kerr, Jessica; Runge, Michael C.

Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

对美国新型冠状病毒肺炎死亡率的个人和总体概率预测的评估

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

IF9.1

2022-04-08131

OAAI

Cramer, Estee Y.; Ray, Evan L.; Lopez, Velma K.; Bracher, Johannes; Brennen, Andrea; Rivadeneira, Alvaro J. Castro; Gerding, Aaron; Gneiting, Tilmann; House, Katie H.; Huang, Yuxin; Jayawardena, Dasuni; Kanji, Abdul H.; Khandelwal, Ayush; Le, Khoa; Muhlemann, Anja; Niemi, Jarad; Shah, Apurv; Stark, Ariane; Wang, Yijin; Wattanachit, Nutcha; Zorn, Martha W.; Gu, Youyang; Jain, Sansiddh; Bannur, Nayana; Deva, Ayush; Kulkarni, Mihir; Merugu, Srujana; Raval, Alpan; Shingi, Siddhant; Tiwari, Avtansh; White, Jerome; Abernethy, Neil F.; Woody, Spencer; Dahan, Maytal; Fox, Spencer; Gaither, Kelly; Lachmann, Michael; Meyers, Lauren Ancel; Scott, James G.; Tec, Mauricio; Srivastava, Ajitesh; George, Glover E.; Cegan, Jeffrey C.; Dettwiller, Ian D.; England, William P.; Farthing, Matthew W.; Hunter, Robert H.; Lafferty, Brandon; Linkov, Igor; Mayo, Michael L.; Parno, Matthew D.; Rowland, Michael A.; Trump, Benjamin D.; Zhang-James, Yanli; Chen, Samuel; Faraone, Stephen, V; Hess, Jonathan; Morley, Christopher P.; Salekin, Asif; Wang, Dongliang; Corsetti, Sabrina M.; Baer, Thomas M.; Eisenberg, Marisa C.; Falb, Karl; Huang, Yitao; Martin, Emily T.; McCauley, Ella; Myers, Robert L.; Schwarz, Tom; Sheldon, Daniel; Gibson, Graham Casey; Yu, Rose; Gao, Liyao; Ma, Yian; Wu, Dongxia; Yan, Xifeng; Jin, Xiaoyong; Wang, Yu-Xiang; Chen, YangQuan; Guo, Lihong; Zhao, Yanting; Gu, Quanquan; Chen, Jinghui; Wang, Lingxiao; Xu, Pan; Zhang, Weitong; Zou, Difan; Biegel, Hannah; Lega, Joceline; McConnell, Steve; Nagraj, V. P.; Guertin, Stephanie L.; Hulme-Lowe, Christopher; Turner, Stephen D.; Shi, Yunfeng; Ban, Xuegang; Walraven, Robert; Hong, Qi-Jun; Kong, Stanley; van de Walle, Axel; Turtle, James A.; Ben-Nun, Michal; Riley, Steven; Riley, Pete; Koyluoglu, Ugur; DesRoches, David; Forli, Pedro; Hamory, Bruce; Kyriakides, Christina; Leis, Helen; Milliken, John; Moloney, Michael; Morgan, James; Nirgudkar, Ninad; Ozcan, Gokce; Piwonka, Noah; Ravi, Matt; Schrader, Chris; Shakhnovich, Elizabeth; Siegel, Daniel; Spatz, Ryan; Stiefeling, Chris; Wilkinson, Barrie; Wong, Alexander; Cavany, Sean; Espana, Guido; Moore, Sean; Oidtman, Rachel; Perkins, Alex; Kraus, David; Kraus, Andrea; Gao, Zhifeng; Bian, Jiang; Cao, Wei; Ferres, Juan Lavista; Li, Chaozhuo; Liu, Tie-Yan; Xie, Xing; Zhang, Shun; Zheng, Shun; Vespignani, Alessandro; Chinazzi, Matteo; Davis, Jessica T.; Mu, Kunpeng; Piontti, Ana Pastore Y.; Xiong, Xinyue; Zheng, Andrew; Baek, Jackie; Farias, Vivek; Georgescu, Andreea; Levi, Retsef; Sinha, Deeksha; Wilde, Joshua; Perakis, Georgia; Bennouna, Mohammed Amine; Nze-Ndong, David; Singhvi, Divya; Spantidakis, Ioannis; Thayaparan, Leann; Tsiourvas, Asterios; Sarker, Arnab; Jadbabaie, Ali; Shah, Devavrat; Della Penna, Nicolas; Celi, Leo A.; Sundar, Saketh; Wolfinger, Russ; Osthus, Dave; Castro, Lauren; Fairchild, Geoffrey; Michaud, Isaac; Karlen, Dean; Kinsey, Matt; Mullany, Luke C.; Rainwater-Lovett, Kaitlin; Shin, Lauren; Tallaksen, Katharine; Wilson, Shelby; Lee, Elizabeth C.; Dent, Juan; Grantz, Kyra H.; Hill, Alison L.; Kaminsky, Joshua; Kaminsky, Kathryn; Keegan, Lindsay T.; Lauer, Stephen A.; Lemaitre, Joseph C.; Lessler, Justin; Meredith, Hannah R.; Perez-Saez, Javier; Shah, Sam; Smith, Claire P.; Truelove, Shaun A.; Wills, Josh; Marshall, Maximilian; Gardner, Lauren; Nixon, Kristen; Burant, John C.; Wang, Lily; Gao, Lei; Gu, Zhiling; Kim, Myungjin; Li, Xinyi; Wang, Guannan; Wang, Yueying; Yu, Shan; Reiner, Robert C.; Barber, Ryan; Gakidou, Emmanuela; Hay, Simon, I; Lim, Steve; Murray, Chris; Pigott, David; Gurung, Heidi L.; Baccam, Prasith; Stage, Steven A.; Suchoski, Bradley T.; Prakash, B. Aditya; Adhikari, Bijaya; Cui, Jiaming; Rodriguez, Alexander; Tabassum, Anika; Xie, Jiajia; Keskinocak, Pinar; Asplund, John; Baxter, Arden; Oruc, Buse Eylul; Serban, Nicoleta; Arik, Sercan O.; Dusenberry, Mike; Epshteyn, Arkady; Kanal, Elli; Le, Long T.; Li, Chun-Liang; Pfister, Tomas; Sava, Dario; Sinha, Rajarishi; Tsai, Thomas; Yoder, Nate; Yoon, Jinsung; Zhang, Leyou; Abbott, Sam; Bosse, Nikos, I; Funk, Sebastian; Hellewell, Joel; Meakin, Sophie R.; Sherratt, Katharine; Zhou, Mingyuan; Kalantari, Rahi; Yamana, Teresa K.; Pei, Sen; Shaman, Jeffrey; Li, Michael L.; Bertsimas, Dimitris; Lami, Omar Skali; Soni, Saksham; Bouardi, Hamza Tazi; Ayer, Turgay; Adee, Madeline; Chhatwal, Jagpreet; Dalgic, Ozden O.; Ladd, Mary A.; Linas, Benjamin P.; Mueller, Peter; Xiao, Jade; Wang, Yuanjia; Wang, Qinxia; Xie, Shanghong; Zeng, Donglin; Green, Alden; Bien, Jacob; Brooks, Logan; Hu, Addison J.; Jahja, Maria; McDonald, Daniel; Narasimhan, Balasubramanian; Politsch, Collin; Rajanala, Samyak; Rumack, Aaron; Simon, Noah; Tibshirani, Ryan J.; Tibshirani, Rob; Ventura, Valerie; Wasserman, Larry; O'Dea, Eamon B.; Drake, John M.; Pagano, Robert; Tran, Quoc T.; Ho, Lam Si Tung; Huong Huynh; Walker, Jo W.; Slayton, Rachel B.; Johansson, Michael A.; Biggerstaff, Matthew; Reich, Nicholas G.

Influenza immune escape under heterogeneous host immune histories

异质宿主免疫史下的流感免疫逃逸

TRENDS IN MICROBIOLOGY

IF14.9

2021-12-0121

OAAI

Impacts of K-12 school reopening on the COVID-19 epidemic in Indiana, USA

EPIDEMICS

IF2.4

2021-12-0119

Burden is in the eye of the beholder: Sensitivity of yellow fever disease burden estimates to modeling assumptions

SCIENCE ADVANCES

IF12.5

2021-10-153

OAAI

Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS

IF15.7

2021-09-1021

OAAI

Lying in wait: the resurgence of dengue virus after the Zika epidemic in Brazil

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS

IF15.7

2021-05-1149

OAAI

Brito, Anderson Fernandes; Machado, Lais Ceschini; Oidtman, Rachel J.; Siconelli, Marcio Junio Lima; Tran, Quan Minh; Fauver, Joseph R.; de Oliveira Carvalho, Rodrigo Dias; Dezordi, Filipe Zimmer; Pereira, Mylena Ribeiro; De Castro-Jorge, Luiza Antunes; Minto, Elaine Cristina Manini; Passos, Luzia Marcia Romanholi; Kalinich, Chaney C.; Petrone, Mary E.; Allen, Emma; Espana, Guido Camargo; Huang, Angkana T.; Cummings, Derek A. T.; Baele, Guy; Oliveira Franca, Rafael Freitas; Lopes da Fonseca, Benedito Antonio; Perkins, T. Alex; Wallau, Gabriel Luz; Grubaugh, Nathan D.

Co-circulation and misdiagnosis led to underestimation of the 2015-2017 Zika epidemic in the Americas

PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES

IF3.4

2021-03-0122

OAAI

Leveraging multiple data types to estimate the size of the Zika epidemic in the Americas

PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES

IF3.4

2020-09-2821

OAAI

Estimating unobserved SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States

估计美国未观察到的SARS-CoV-2感染