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Technological change as chaotic process
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DOI：10.1111/j.1467-9310.2011.00641.x.png)
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摘要
En 中文
In this paper, we draw upon the concepts of chaos theory to examine technological change as a pattern of punctuated equilibrium through the alternation of continuity and discontinuity across time. We advocate the application of the chaos mathematical technique of time-varying local Lyapunov exponents to estimate the rates of change, timing of technological transitions and the continuity discontinuity loop time periods. To illustrate our framework of ideas, we investigated and compared the development of four technologies - semiconductor, display, software, and biotechnology - from 1976 to 2005, using time series patent data. Implications for theory, method, and practice are discussed.
Keyword:
PUNCTUATED EQUILIBRIUM
REVOLUTIONARY CHANGE
LYAPUNOV EXPONENTS
EMPIRICAL-ANALYSIS
DOMINANT DESIGNS
INNOVATION
PERFORMANCE
COMPLEXITY
DYNAMICS
INDICATORS
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IF:
9
论文数:
3.8K
被引数:
3.7W
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Toward a systematic framework for research on dominant designs, technological innovations, and industrial change走向主导设计、技术创新和产业变革研究的系统框架
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