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Continuity Scaling: A Rigorous Framework for Detecting and Quantifying Causality Accurately

delete2022-05-04
delete25
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OA
AI
Y
Ying Xiong
冷思阳 (Siyang Leng)
H
Huanfei Ma
聂庆 cover
聂庆 (Qing Nie)
Y
Ying‐Cheng Lai
林伟 (Wei Lin) *
DOI:10.34133/2022/9870149delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
Data-based detection and quantification of causation in complex, nonlinear dynamical systems is of paramount importance to science, engineering, and beyond. Inspired by the widely used methodology in recent years, the cross-map-based techniques, we develop a general framework to advance towards a comprehensive understanding of dynamical causal mechanisms, which is consistent with the natural interpretation of causality. In particular, instead of measuring the smoothness of the cross-map as conventionally implemented, we define causation through measuring the scaling law for the continuity of the investigated dynamical system directly. The uncovered scaling law enables accurate, reliable, and efficient detection of causation and assessment of its strength in general complex dynamical systems, outperforming those existing representative methods. The continuity scaling-based framework is rigorously established and demonstrated using datasets from model complex systems and the real world.
Keywords:
DELAY EMBEDDINGS
FORCED SYSTEMS
CAUSATION
CONNECTIVITY
INFERENCE
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