Philip E. Tetlock - Publications, H-index & Citations

Philip E. Tetlock

university of pennsylvania

52H指数

228论文数

1.4W被引数

收录论文 39

发表时间

Psychological elitism 心理精英主义

Theory and Society

IF1.4

2025-10-01

OAAI

Mitchell, Gregory; Tetlock, Philip E.

Morally offensive scientific findings activate cognitive chicanery 道德上令人反感的科学发现会激活认知诡计

Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences

IF4.8

2025-09-10

OAAI

Cory J. Clark; Nicholas Kerry; Maja Graso; Philip E. Tetlock

Taboos and Self-Censorship Among US Psychology Professors

PERSPECTIVES ON PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE

IF8.4

2024-05-16

OAAI

Clark, Cory J.; Fjeldmark, Matias; Lu, Louise; Baumeister, Roy F.; Ceci, Stephen; Frey, Komi; Miller, Geoffrey; Reilly, Wilfred; Tice, Dianne; von Hippel, William; Williams, Wendy M.; Winegard, Bo M.; Tetlock, Philip E.

Crowd prediction systems: Markets, polls, and elite forecasters 群体预测系统：市场、民意调查和精英预测者

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING

IF7.1

2024-01-01

PREAI

Atanasov, Pavel; Witkowski, Jens; Mellers, Barbara; Tetlock, Philip

Prosocial motives underlie scientific censorship by scientists: A perspective and research agenda

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

IF9.1

2023-11-20

OAAI

Clark, Cory J.; Jussim, Lee; Frey, Komi; Stevens, Sean T.; Al-Gharbi, Musa; Aquino, Karl; Bailey, J. Michael; Barbaro, Nicole; Baumeister, Roy F.; Bleske-Rechek, April; Buss, David; Ceci, Stephen; Del Giudice, Marco; Ditto, Peter H.; Forgas, Joseph P.; Geary, David C.; Geher, Glenn; Haider, Sarah; Honeycutt, Nathan; Joshi, Hrishikesh; Krylov, Anna I.; Loftus, Elizabeth; Loury, Glenn; Lu, Louise; Macy, Michael; Martin, Chris C.; McWhorter, John; Miller, Geoffrey; Paresky, Pamela; Pinker, Steven; Reilly, Wilfred; Salmon, Catherine; Stewart-Williams, Steve; Tetlock, Philip E.; Williams, Wendy M.; Wilson, Anne E.; Winegard, Bo M.; Yancey, George; von Hippel, William

Human and Algorithmic Predictions in Geopolitical Forecasting: Quantifying Uncertainty in Hard-to-Quantify Domains

PERSPECTIVES ON PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE

IF8.4

2023-08-29

OAAI

Mellers, Barbara A.; Mccoy, John P.; Lu, Louise; Tetlock, Philip E.

False dichotomy alert: Improving subjective-probability estimates vs. raising awareness of systemic risk

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING

IF7.1

2023-04-01

PREAI

Tetlock, Philip E.; Lu, Yunzi; Mellers, Barbara A.

Decomposing the effects of crowd-wisdom aggregators: The bias-information-noise (BIN) model

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING

IF7.1

2023-01-01

OAAI

Satopaa, Ville A.; Salikhov, Marat; Tetlock, Philip E.; Mellers, Barbara

What do forecasting rationales reveal about thinking patterns of top geopolitical forecasters?

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING

IF7.1

2022-04-01

OAAI

Karvetski, Christopher W.; Meinel, Carolyn; Maxwell, Daniel T.; Lu, Yunzi; Mellers, Barbara A.; Tetlock, Philip E.

Wise teamwork: Collective confidence calibration predicts the effectiveness of group discussion

JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY

IF3.1

2021-09-01

OAAI

Silver, Ike; Mellers, Barbara A.; Tetlock, Philip E.

Small steps to accuracy: Incremental belief updaters are better forecasters 小步骤的准确性: 增量信念更新者是更好的预测者

ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN DECISION PROCESSES

IF3.8

2020-09-01

OAAI

Atanasov, Pavel; Witkowski, Jens; Ungar, Lyle; Mellers, Barbara; Tetlock, Philip

What Makes Foreign Policy Teams Tick: Explaining Variation in Group Performance at Geopolitical Forecasting

JOURNAL OF POLITICS

IF3.8

2019-10-01

PREAI

Horowitz, Michael; Stewart, Brandon M.; Tingley, Dustin; Bishop, Michael; Samotin, Laura Resnick; Roberts, Margaret; Chang, Welton; Mellers, Barbara; Tetlock, Philip

Robust forecast aggregation: Fourier L2E regression

JOURNAL OF FORECASTING

IF2.7

2017-10-12

PREAI

Cross, Daniel; Ramos, Jaime; Mellers, Barbara; Tetlock, Philip E.; Scott, David W.

A neglected dimension of good forecasting judgment: The questions we choose also matter

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING

IF7.1

2017-10-01

OAAI

Merkle, Edgar C.; Steyvers, Mark; Mellers, Barbara; Tetlock, Philip E.