James Derbyshire - Publications, H-index & Citations

James Derbyshire

chester university

15H指数

44论文数

866被引数

收录论文 16

发表时间

Looking for a Straw in a Haystack by Bridging the Cracks Between Individual Judgments: Narrowing the Knowledge Gap To Anticipate Surprises by Transforming Risk Assessors’ Small Worlds Into Large Worlds 通过弥合个体判断之间的分歧来寻找干草堆中的稻草：通过将风险评估者的小世界转变为大世界来缩小知识差距以预判意外

Risk Analysis

IF3.3

2026-04-23

OAAI

James Derbyshire; Terje Aven

Adapting Scenario Planning to Create an Expectation for Surprises: Going Beyond Probability and Plausibility in Risk Assessment 将情景规划应用于为意外创造预期：在风险评估中超越概率与可能性

RISK ANALYSIS

IF3.3

2025-09-01

OAAI

Derbyshire, James; Dhami, Mandeep; Belton, Ian; Onkal, Dilek; Aven, Terje

Why ignore expiry dates on cosmetics? A qualitative study of perceived risk and its implications for cosmetics producers and regulators 为何要忽视化妆品的保质期？——一项关于感知风险及其对化妆品生产商和监管者的影响的定性研究

RISK ANALYSIS

IF3.3

2025-04-21

OAAI

Yujiao Wang; Gary Davies; James Derbyshire; Farid Ullah

Out of sight but still in mind: Developing an expectation for surprises by formalizing unknowledge in a contemporary risk-assessment framework

RISK ANALYSIS

IF3.3

2024-10-08

OAAI

Derbyshire, James; Aven, Terje

Integrating modelling-based and stakeholder-focused scenario approaches to close the planning gap and accelerate low-carbon transitions

ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS

IF6.3

2024-07-01

OAAI

Derbyshire, James

Borrowing from Keynes' A Treatise on Probability: A non-probabilistic measure of uncertainty for scenario planning

EUROPEAN MANAGEMENT REVIEW

IF2.8

2022-12-19

OAAI

Derbyshire, James; Feduzi, Alberto; Runde, Jochen

Is seeking certainty in climate sensitivity measures counterproductive in the context of climate emergency? The case for scenario planning

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE

IF13.3

2022-09-01

OAAI

Derbyshire, James; Morgan, Jamie

Increasing Preparedness for Extreme Events using Plausibility-Based Scenario Planning: Lessons from COVID-19

RISK ANALYSIS

IF3.3

2021-09-20

PREAI

Derbyshire, James

Enhancing horizon scanning by utilizing pre-developed scenarios: Analysis of current practice and specification of a process improvement to aid the identification of important 'weak signals'

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE

IF13.3

2017-12-01

OAAI

Rowe, Emily; Wright, George; Derbyshire, James

Understanding the failure to understand New Product Development failures: Mitigating the uncertainty associated with innovating new products by combining scenario planning and forecasting

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE

IF13.3

2017-12-01

OAAI

Derbyshire, James; Giovannetti, Emanuele

Potential surprise theory as a theoretical foundation for scenario planning

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE

IF13.3

2017-11-01

OAAI

Derbyshire, James

Augmenting the intuitive logics scenario planning method for a more comprehensive analysis of causation

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING

IF7.1

2017-01-01

OAAI

Derbyshire, James; Wright, George

The implications, challenges and benefits of a complexity-orientated Futures Studies

FUTURES

IF3.8

2016-03-01

PREAI

Derbyshire, James

The critical role of history in scenario thinking: Augmenting causal analysis within the intuitive logics scenario development methodology

FUTURES

IF3.8

2016-03-01

OAAI

Bradfield, Ronald; Derbyshire, James; Wright, George

The impact of ambidexterity on enterprise performance: Evidence from 15 countries and 14 sectors

TECHNOVATION

IF10.9

2014-10-01

PREAI

Derbyshire, James

Preparing for the future: Development of an 'antifragile' methodology that complements scenario planning by omitting causation

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE

IF13.3

2014-02-01

OAAI

Derbyshire, James; Wright, George

研究方向